Thursday, January 31, 2008

Strategy Lab Open


Strategy Lab Open


I am anxiously awaiting the start of the Strategy Lab Open. This will be the first time for me to put my investment strategy to the test against other highly educated investors on a stage such as this starting on February 1, 2008. My portfolio and blog can be seen and tracked here. Generally, my investment methods are for "safer", lower risk investing that takes a little time to show returns. Hopefully, I will be able to take enough risk at times to create the big returns needed to show well in a competition like this. So follow along with me and learn the basics of my common sense investing strategies!

Common Sense Makes Money

My investment theory is simple in nature, but, not so simple to follow for people who fall victim to popular sentiment, experts, and media hype. It involves good old fashion common sense. Common sense can't be learned in a college curriculum, but can be worked on through rationalization in real life. Think about your own life and how many times "experts" or the media told you to invest in something even though you knew it didn't make sense. Did you follow the herd anyway or did you use your common sense to stay away? Common sense enabled some investors to avoid the slaughter of dot-com stocks that started in early 2000 and is making some investors a lot of money in gold and silver as the dollar is sacrificed by the Fed. Lack of common sense investing has led investors to huge losses in mortgage backed securities as all of this "junk debt" is rearing its ugly head.


What Prevents Common Sense Investing?

Far too often people are easily swayed by popular opinion, "expert" analysts, or even worse the latest headlines. It is like a self-fulfilling prophesy when an investor hears negative remarks by fellow investors, believes in them, and begins to make bad investment decisions because of it. The same bodes true for investors that buy into "hype" and foolishly positive market sentiment that causes them to believe that they can do no wrong. If you have made a decision on an investment and believe that the reasons for making the investment are still sound use your common sense and stick with it. Next is an article I read recently, Max and the hot dog stand, that really hammers home the need for common sense investing.


Max and the Hot Dog Stand

Max worked seven days a week building the business of his little hot dog stand. He kept the place sparkling clean, offered terrific hot dogs and gave each customer a dose of friendly banter. His sales grew and grew, he reinvested his profits, hired more employees, extended his operating hours and even advertised on radio: "Max's hot dogs.... Fresh, fast and fabulous."

Business kept growing at a rapid pace. Then one day Max's son came home from college, where he was studying economics. The boy said, "Dad, don't you know there's a recession sweeping the country? You'd better ease off the expansion, fire some of your employees, reduce your operating hours and stop advertising on the radio."

"But," Max said, "Business is terrific."

"Listen to me," said the son, "This recession is real, and you'd better recognize it."

So, Max cut back on reinvesting in the business, fired many of his employees, reduced his operating hours and stopped advertising on the radio.

A few months later, the boy called from college and asked how the hot dog business was doing.

"Well," said Max, "you were right. Business is terrible. I'm glad you told me how to react to the recession."


Full Disclosure: All of the stocks that I use in this contest are stocks I am currently buying, selling, or considering buying and selling myself.

Easy Money Management's editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. My blogs and other features should not be construed as investment advice. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Investment Opportunity

Investment Opportunity - Silver



Okay so if you’ve been following along we’ve made over 17% on Citibank preferred shares (Full disclosure: I own Citi preferred shares and C), over 20% on Gold (Full disclosure: I own GLD and actual gold). I am not currently taking profit in Citi preferred shares as I would like to continue collecting that great dividend from them. I have taken some profit in GLD and gold, but, let’s face it gold is going to $1000 so I am going to stay invested in it and collect that next 7%. As I mentioned before the fed seems content with sacrificing the dollar to try and save the housing market which will continue to help these two investments and will help my next reccommendation.


Why Silver?


Silver has been "under the radar" so to speak as the record prices in Gold and Platinum have taken all of the headlines. Silver has "quietly" gained over 15% during this period to its current level of $16.75. Does anyone know where silver was at the last time gold hit its old record of $850 in the 1980's? I do, silver was over $49 per ounce at the time! Right now gold is at an even higher level and silver is less than half of its previous high. My buillion dealer has a hard time keeping silver in stock and is convinced that silver will soon see $20+ per ounce. I have to agree with him and from its current level that would be an almost 20% gain.


How to Buy Silver.


Buying silver is similar to buying gold in that you can buy the actual metal in the form of coins or bars and also in the form of an ETF or by purchasing shares of a silver mining company. I currently own and I am buying coins, bars, and shares of SLV. If you are going to buy coins or bars please consult your professional coin dealer otherwise I think your'e best buy is shares of SLV which are actually ownership shares of silver. If you need more info on a trustworthy coin dealer or on buying silver please email me.
Easy Money Management’s editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. My blogs and other features should not be construed as investment advice. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.


Monday, January 28, 2008

Monday Mantra - “Managing to have a sense of humor makes it a lot easier to manage the ups and downs of the market"


Monday Mantra “Managing to have a sense of humor makes it a lot easier to manage the ups and downs of the market”


With all the attention that has been on the economy and the stock market the past few weeks, I found an article of humor that I found pretty amusing. I hope it helps you keep perspective and humor no matter the situations going on in the economy.


The Stock Market Report



Helium was up, feathers were down, paper was stationary.


Fluorescent tubing was dimmed in light trading. Knives were up sharply.


Cows steered into a bull market. Pencils lost a few points.


Hiking equipment was trailing.


Elevators rose, while escalators continued their slow decline.


Weights were up in heavy trading.


Light switches were off.


Mining equipment hit rock bottom.


Diapers remain unchanged.


Shipping lines stayed at even keel.


The market for raisins dried up.


Coca-Cola fizzled.


Caterpillar stock inched up a bit.


Sun peaked at midday.


Balloon prices were inflated.


Charmin touched a new bottom.


Batteries exploded in an attempt to recharge the market.

Sunday, January 27, 2008


Federal Reserve Rate Impact


If you have been following the recent developments with regards to the Federal Reserve rate cuts you may be wondering what it all means for us. The “emergency” rate cuts put into effect by the Fed chairman on Monday are currently creating some favorable situations in the home lending market. The most obvious impact the cuts have made is in the home equity line of credit rates. Also known in the industry as a HELOC, this type of loan enables you to open a line of credit against the value of your home. The two most common amounts of $30,000 and $50,000 have had a dramatic decrease in interest rate since the cuts. The $30k loan has gone from 6.85% last week all the way down to 6.30% this week on average. The $50k loan has gone down even lower; from 6.35% last week to 5.60% this week on average! What a time to take money out via a HELOC for investment purposes! The best news, however, may be yet to come. This week the Fed will have an “official” meeting that may result in even further rate cuts which would made a HELOC loan even more attractive.

Investing with a HELOC

While most people use a HELOC for upgrading or remodeling their current home or buying a new car the best thing to do is invest it. When rates on a HELOC drop they inevitably create a larger margin between the cost of the money and the rate of return on investing it. You could invest it in other rental property, a small business, or even use it to buy some of these stocks that are currently on sale. If you or anyone you know might be interested in learning about how to Use equity to invest profitably please contact me via email.

Friday, January 25, 2008

Make Money Now!

Prosper

I want to let everybody know that Prosper has a promotion going on right now for new lenders and borrowers! If you sign up now, by clicking on my link, you will receive $25 sign-on bonus if you are a lender and $35 if you are a borrower! If you have been “on the fence” now is the time to join. Free money, a great rate, and a great member driven financial institution are all waiting for you! With the decline of interest rates on CD’s offered by banks, this is a great way to increase your interest income. Need some more information on P2P lending or borrowing? Check out my blog from lasty November or even consider reading How to lend money to friends you've never met and as always feel free to email me if you need more information. Offer ends June 30, 2008!!

Monday, January 21, 2008

Monday Mantra - "Buy Low, Sell High"

“Buy Low, Sell High”

Buy low and sell high is a phrase that has often been heard, but, not often followed in the investing arena. It seems like an easy rule to follow, buy stocks or real estate when they have declined in price more than value and then sell when the price advances above the value. Even experienced investors talk a good game about buying low and selling high only to actually do the opposite. Think about it; when everyone is excited about buying property or stocks it is usually when the prices are high and everyone is driving the price higher. When people are afraid or worried and selling it is when their property value is down or in decline and their stocks are down or declining. Think about your own situation; are you worried that the stock market is down 15% from its high in the past year and selling? Have you seen housing values decline 30% or more in some areas and thought about selling your home or investment property? If you followed this simple saying you would look at these situations as “fire” sales and want to be a buyer of these investments.
What does this mean?

All investors agree that buying low and selling high is a great idea, at times this can also become buying high and selling higher. Curiously, a declining stock price or home value doesn’t seem to attract many buyers. In fact it often times results in just the opposite and even selling by people who already own it. This is contrary to the belief in buying low and selling high and even contrary to the purchasing habits of smart shoppers in general. Suppose you are shopping and find a nice watch you are interested in buying that is selling for $1500 in a jewelry store. You want the watch but as a smart shopper you want to find the best deal. If the following week the store advertised it at $1600 would you feel compelled to purchase the watch at this higher price? Unbeknownst to many investors this is exactly what they do when “panic” selling as an investment goes down and “excitement” buying as the investment goes up, the opposite of smart investing. A smart shopper would wait for that watch to go on sale for $1400 so that they may purchase $1500 worth of watch for $1400. This is just as an intelligent investor would identify an investment they want and wait until it is on sale so they can get what they want at a cheaper price.

What does this mean to us?

With this mantra in mind we may want to look at current opportunities or “sales” that are going on in the stock and housing markets today. If you were looking at investing in property before there may be a good “discount” on that same property today. The same holds true for stocks. If you had your eye on a particular stock last year or even just getting started in stocks last year due to the record highs now may be a good time to invest as many good stocks are on sale right now.

What's on sale?

Currently there are many opportunities in high dividend paying trusts and preferred stocks. They are on sale right along side all of the other stocks yet still pay the same dividends they paid when the stock price was much higher resulting in a much higher yield percentage on your investment. There are also many opportunities in big city (SF, NY, Chicago, Seattle, etc.) real estate. San Francisco for example hasn’t seen a downturn in prices like much of the country but the market has turned into a buyer’s market, due to fewer buyers, and makes it a favorable time to buy.
Easy Money Management’s editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. My blogs and other features should not be construed as investment advice. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.

Monday, January 14, 2008

Monday Mantra - "A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush"




“A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush”


It is better to accept or be content with what one has than to try to get more and risk losing everything. The thing that you already have is a bird in the hand; the things you want but don't have are two (birds) in the bush. You should not risk losing what you have by trying to get something that you don't have. This phrase is very important in the world of creating and preserving wealth and it is a rule that I use often by booking profits in many types of investments. Sometimes we may miss more profits by taking the “bird in the hand” so if the investment still looks promising I will generally take part of my profits and leave the rest invested in case the “two in the bush” decide to make their way towards my hand.

In November I covered gold as an investment opportunity and a few ways we could easily invest in gold. At the time gold was down from its high and below $800 per ounce; it was a great buying opportunity that many people took advantage of. Since then gold has spiked more than 12.5% and shows no sign of slowing down on its march toward $1000. There were many forces acting upon the price of gold that suggested that we would see a spike in price. Many of these forces are still in place, but, as our Monday Mantra says we may need to book some, but not all, profits in gold while we still have them.
Easy Money Management’s editorial goal is to provide a forum for personal finance and investment ideas. My blogs and other features should not be construed as investment advice. An investor's best course of action must be based on individual circumstances.